Vietnam 2026/27 Coffee Crop Seen Down 5% as Nine-Month Export Value Falls 7.3%

Vietnam’s 2025-2026 coffee season output was slightly above 2 million tonnes, or more than 34 million 60-kg bags, according to Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (VICOFA) officials, who expect the 2026-2027 crop to fall about 5% due to unfavorable weather, particularly during harvest.

Vietnam’s Ministry of Agriculture and Environment reported that in the first nine months of 2026 the country exported about 1.4 million tonnes of coffee worth USD 6.54 billion, with volume up 15.4% year on year but value down 7.3%; the average export price fell 19.7% to USD 4,537.3 per tonne.

Domestically, Central Highlands farm-gate prices held between VND 92,000 and 94,000 per kg. Industry figures say farmers are reluctant to sell below VND 90,000 per kg, leaving the market in a standoff between buyers and sellers.

Analysts argue Vietnamese robusta must move beyond its role as a cheap raw material and reposition as a high-quality branded product, competing on value rather than price through clean, transparent, standards-compliant supply.

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